Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Cherno More Varna to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Cherno More Varna take on Botev Vratsa on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at Ticha. Cherno More Varna are 9th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Botev Vratsa sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Cherno More Varna and 0.5 for Botev Vratsa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Cherno More Varna or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cherno More Varna to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cherno More Varna 1–0 Botev Vratsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherno More Varna64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Botev Vratsa14%fair 7.11 · @5.25
2.06Expected goals
1.54Cherno More Varna xG
0.52Botev Vratsa xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.5 – 0.5 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.10
–
Form
Cherno More Varna – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Botev Vratsa – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Dobrudzha
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and Botev Vratsa.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Cherno More Varna to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Vratsa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–0 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
