Double chanceLokomotiv Plovdiv or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.51
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna travel to Stadion Lokomotiv in the First League on Saturday 21 February (14:00 WAT) to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Varna sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.7 for Spartak Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv64%fair 1.57 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Spartak Varna15%fair 6.47 · @6.25
2.34Expected goals
1.69Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.65Spartak Varna xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.7 – 0.7 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win✗
64%
1.57
1.47
Double chance
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.51
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Varna 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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