Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets travel to Stadion Hristo Botev in the First League on Monday 23 February (17:00 WAT) to face Botev Plovdiv. Botev Plovdiv are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Botev Plovdiv and 1.7 for Ludogorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Plovdiv20%fair 4.99 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Ludogorets56%fair 1.78 · @1.50
2.79Expected goals
1.13Botev Plovdiv xG
1.66Ludogorets xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.1 – 1.7 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
56%
1.78
1.50
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Botev Plovdiv – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ludogorets – last 2
WW
19 Feb
vs Ferencvarosi TC
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beroe
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Ludogorets.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ludogorets 56%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.