Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
Cherno More Varna travel to Stadion Lokomotiv in the First League on Sunday 15 February (11:00 WAT) to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.1 for Cherno More Varna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv35%fair 2.90 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
Cherno More Varna40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
2.12Expected goals
1.01Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.11Cherno More Varna xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 – 1.1 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
40%
2.52
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
No recent results on record.
Cherno More Varna
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cherno More Varna 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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