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Premier League · Hong-Kong · Aberdeen Sports Ground

Southern District vs North District prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: North District to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultNorth District to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Southern District vs North District preview and prediction

The match

The Premier League sees Southern District take on North District on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Aberdeen Sports Ground. Southern District are 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while North District sit 3rd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Southern District's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Wofoo Tai Po 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

North District's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat BC Rangers 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Southern District and 1.9 for North District. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Southern District 1–1 North District. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Southern District25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.85
North District57%fair 1.77 · @1.91
3.06Expected goals
1.16Southern District xG
1.90North District xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Southern District 1.2 – 1.9 North District expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorth District to win ✗57%1.771.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.651.60
Half-time resultNorth District ahead at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT North District / FT North District ✗34%2.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.19–

Form

Southern District – last 4

LWWL
15 Mar@ Wofoo Tai Po0–1L
28 Febvs Wofoo Tai Po2–1W
22 Febvs Hong Kong FC2–1W
15 Feb@ BC Rangers0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

North District – last 4

WWDL
14 Marvs BC Rangers2–1W
8 Mar@ Hong Kong FC3–1W
1 Marvs Eastern District2–2D
14 Febvs Eastern0–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Southern District and North District.

Southern District vs North District head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee000000
2Warriors000000
3North District000000
4Wofoo Tai Po000000
5Eastern000000
6Kowloon City000000
7Eastern District000000
8Southern District000000
9BC Rangers000000
10Hong Kong FC000000
11Shatin000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southern District vs North District?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Southern District vs North District?

On our numbers Southern District have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 18% and North District 57%.

How many goals will there be in Southern District vs North District?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Southern District vs North District?

Our predicted score is Southern District 1–1 North District, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Southern District vs North District?

Southern District vs North District (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Aberdeen Sports Ground.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.