The Premier League sees Hong Kong FC take on Warriors on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Hong Kong Football Club Stadium. Hong Kong FC are 10th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Warriors sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hong Kong FC's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to North District 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Warriors's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Wofoo Tai Po 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Warriors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 0.9 for Hong Kong FC and 2.8 for Warriors. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hong Kong FC 7%, draw 18%, Warriors 75%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hong Kong FC 1–2 Warriors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hong Kong FC7%fair 14.24 · @17.00
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @10.00
Warriors75%fair 1.34 · @1.08
3.73Expected goals
0.91Hong Kong FC xG
2.82Warriors xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–17%
0–46%
From our goals model: Hong Kong FC 0.9 – 2.8 Warriors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warriors to win✓
75%
1.34
1.08
Double chance
Warriors or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Warriors ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warriors / FT Warriors✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Form
Hong Kong FC – last 3
LLL
8 Mar
vs North District
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Kitchee
2–5
L
22 Feb
@ Southern District
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Warriors – last 3
WWD
11 Mar
vs Wofoo Tai Po
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs BC Rangers
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Eastern
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hong Kong FC and Warriors.
What is the prediction for Hong Kong FC vs Warriors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Hong Kong FC vs Warriors?
On our numbers Hong Kong FC have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Warriors 75%.
How many goals will there be in Hong Kong FC vs Warriors?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hong Kong FC vs Warriors?
Our predicted score is Hong Kong FC 1–2 Warriors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hong Kong FC vs Warriors?
Hong Kong FC vs Warriors (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Hong Kong Football Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
