Bayelsa United vs Kwara United prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKwara United to win ✗59% · fair 1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.52
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United preview and prediction
The match
The NPFL sees Bayelsa United take on Kwara United on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Sapele Township Stadium. Bayelsa United are 19th with 43 points from 38 games (in the bottom three), while Kwara United sit 12th on 50 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bayelsa United's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Katsina United 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kwara United's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Barau FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kwara United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.7 for Bayelsa United and 1.2 for Kwara United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bayelsa United 30%, draw 11%, Kwara United 59%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 87% chance. Predicted score: Bayelsa United 0–1 Kwara United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayelsa United30%fair 3.33
Draw11%fair 9.09
Kwara United59%fair 1.69
1.92Expected goals
0.68Bayelsa United xG
1.24Kwara United xG
42%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–015%
1–112%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bayelsa United 0.7 – 1.2 Kwara United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kwara United to win✗
59%
1.69
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kwara United / FT Kwara United✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.52
–
Form
Bayelsa United – last 6
LLWLWL
19 Apr
@ Katsina United
2–3
L
6 Apr
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Kano Pillars
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Plateau United
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Warri Wolves
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kwara United – last 6
WWLDWL
19 Apr
vs Barau FC
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs El Kanemi Warriors
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Remo Stars
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Katsina United
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayelsa United and Kwara United.
What is the prediction for Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 87% chance.
Who will win Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
On our numbers Bayelsa United have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kwara United 59%.
How many goals will there be in Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Our predicted score is Bayelsa United 0–1 Kwara United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?
Bayelsa United vs Kwara United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapele Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
