Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Kwara United vs Barau FC preview and prediction
The match
Kwara United host Barau FC in the NPFL on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Akure Township Stadium. Kwara United are 12th with 50 points from 38 games (in the bottom half), while Barau FC sit 8th on 52 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kwara United's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat El Kanemi Warriors 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Barau FC's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Enugu Rangers 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Kwara United and 0.8 for Barau FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kwara United 44%, draw 13%, Barau FC 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 91% chance. Predicted score: Kwara United 0–0 Barau FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kwara United44%fair 2.27
Draw13%fair 7.69
Barau FC43%fair 2.33
1.65Expected goals
0.83Kwara United xG
0.82Barau FC xG
36%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kwara United 0.8 – 0.8 Barau FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kwara United to win✓
44%
2.27
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Kwara United – last 6
WLDWLD
5 Apr
vs El Kanemi Warriors
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Remo Stars
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Katsina United
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Rivers United
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barau FC – last 6
DDWWLD
5 Apr
@ Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Katsina United
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Abia Warriors
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Plateau United
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Rivers United
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Warri Wolves
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kwara United and Barau FC.
What is the prediction for Kwara United vs Barau FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 91% chance.
Who will win Kwara United vs Barau FC?
On our numbers Kwara United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Barau FC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs Barau FC?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs Barau FC?
Our predicted score is Kwara United 0–0 Barau FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kwara United vs Barau FC?
Kwara United vs Barau FC (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Akure Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
