Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.12 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAbia Warriors to win ✓47% · fair 2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.28
Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United preview and prediction
The match
The NPFL sees Abia Warriors take on Bayelsa United on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Umuahia Township Stadium. Abia Warriors are 6th with 55 points from 38 games (in the top half), while Bayelsa United sit 19th on 43 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Abia Warriors's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Enyimba 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bayelsa United's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Kano Pillars 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Abia Warriors and 0.8 for Bayelsa United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Abia Warriors 47%, draw 13%, Bayelsa United 40%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 89% chance. Predicted score: Abia Warriors 0–0 Bayelsa United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Abia Warriors47%fair 2.13
Draw13%fair 7.69
Bayelsa United40%fair 2.50
1.80Expected goals
0.96Abia Warriors xG
0.84Bayelsa United xG
40%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Abia Warriors 1.0 – 0.8 Bayelsa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Abia Warriors to win✓
47%
2.13
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.28
–
Form
Abia Warriors – last 6
LWLWWD
29 Mar
@ Enyimba
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Niger Tornadoes
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Barau FC
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Shooting Stars
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Kwara United
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Remo Stars
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bayelsa United – last 6
WLWLWD
29 Mar
vs Kano Pillars
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Plateau United
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Warri Wolves
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Rivers United
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Ikorodu City
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Abia Warriors and Bayelsa United.
What is the prediction for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 89% chance.
Who will win Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
On our numbers Abia Warriors have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Bayelsa United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
Our predicted score is Abia Warriors 0–0 Bayelsa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?
Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United (NPFL) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuahia Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
