Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKwara United to win ✓64% · fair 1.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.85
Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors preview and prediction
The match
Kwara United host El Kanemi Warriors in the NPFL on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Akure Township Stadium. Kwara United are 12th with 50 points from 38 games (in the bottom half), while El Kanemi Warriors sit 18th on 47 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kwara United's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Remo Stars 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
El Kanemi Warriors's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with Katsina United 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Kwara United and 0.5 for El Kanemi Warriors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kwara United 64%, draw 11%, El Kanemi Warriors 25%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 89% chance. Predicted score: Kwara United 1–0 El Kanemi Warriors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kwara United64%fair 1.56
Draw11%fair 9.09
El Kanemi Warriors25%fair 4.00
1.83Expected goals
1.28Kwara United xG
0.55El Kanemi Warriors xG
40%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kwara United 1.3 – 0.5 El Kanemi Warriors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kwara United to win✓
64%
1.56
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kwara United / FT Kwara United✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.85
–
Form
Kwara United – last 6
LDWLDD
22 Mar
@ Remo Stars
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Enugu Rangers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Katsina United
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Abia Warriors
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Rivers United
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Kano Pillars
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Kanemi Warriors – last 4
DLLW
15 Mar
vs Katsina United
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rivers United
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Kano Pillars
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Plateau United
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kwara United and El Kanemi Warriors.
What is the prediction for Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 89% chance.
Who will win Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
On our numbers Kwara United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 11% and El Kanemi Warriors 25%.
How many goals will there be in Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
Our predicted score is Kwara United 1–0 El Kanemi Warriors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?
Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Akure Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
