Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.80
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance preview and prediction
The match
The NPFL sees Nasarawa United take on Bendel Insurance on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lafia Township Stadium. Nasarawa United are 5th with 56 points from 38 games (in the top half), while Bendel Insurance sit 7th on 53 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Nasarawa United and 0.5 for Bendel Insurance. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasarawa United 63%, draw 22%, Bendel Insurance 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Nasarawa United 1–0 Bendel Insurance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasarawa United63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Bendel Insurance15%fair 6.78 · @6.25
1.93Expected goals
1.44Nasarawa United xG
0.49Bendel Insurance xG
37%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nasarawa United 1.4 – 0.5 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasarawa United to win✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Nasarawa United or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasarawa United / FT Nasarawa United✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.80
–
Form
Nasarawa United – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Katsina United
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bendel Insurance – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Bayelsa United
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasarawa United and Bendel Insurance.
What is the prediction for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Nasarawa United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bendel Insurance 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Our predicted score is Nasarawa United 1–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lafia Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
