Value bet: Imisli FK to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultImisli FK to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceImisli FK or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Imisli FK vs Karvan preview and prediction
The match
Imisli FK host Karvan in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Form guide
Imisli FK's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Zira 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karvan's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Turan 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Imisli FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Imisli FK and 0.7 for Karvan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Imisli FK 63%, draw 21%, Karvan 16%.
Safer route: Imisli FK or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Imisli FK to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Imisli FK 1–0 Karvan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imisli FK63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.35
Karvan16%fair 6.09 · @3.85
2.45Expected goals
1.73Imisli FK xG
0.72Karvan xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Imisli FK 1.7 – 0.7 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Imisli FK to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Imisli FK or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Imisli FK ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Imisli FK / FT Imisli FK✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Form
Imisli FK – last 6
DWWDLL
8 May
vs Zira
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Kapaz
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Qabala
1–0
W
7 Apr
vs Turan
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Neftchi Baku
0–6
L
14 Mar
vs Sabah FA
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 6
LLLWLL
10 May
@ Turan
0–1
L
5 May
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Kapaz
4–1
W
6 Apr
@ Qarabag
0–8
L
19 Mar
vs Zira
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imisli FK and Karvan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Imisli FK vs Karvan?
On our numbers Imisli FK have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karvan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is Imisli FK 1–0 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Imisli FK vs Karvan?
Imisli FK vs Karvan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
