Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Zira to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZira to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceZira or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Imisli FK vs Zira preview and prediction
The match
Zira travel to Quba OIK stadionu in the Premyer Liqa on Friday 8 May (13:30 WAT) to face Imisli FK. Imisli FK are 8th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Zira sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Imisli FK's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Kapaz 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zira's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Turan 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Imisli FK and 1.5 for Zira. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Imisli FK 15%, draw 24%, Zira 61%.
Safer route: Zira or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Zira to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zira or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Imisli FK 0–1 Zira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imisli FK15%fair 6.89 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Zira61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.14Expected goals
0.59Imisli FK xG
1.55Zira xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Imisli FK 0.6 – 1.5 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Imisli FK – last 6
WWDLLD
19 Apr
@ Kapaz
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Qabala
1–0
W
7 Apr
vs Turan
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Neftchi Baku
0–6
L
14 Mar
vs Sabah FA
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zira – last 6
DDDDWW
27 Apr
@ Turan
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Turan
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Neftchi Baku
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Şamaxı FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Turan
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Karvan
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imisli FK and Zira.
Our pick is Zira or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Imisli FK vs Zira?
On our numbers Imisli FK have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zira 61%.
How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Zira?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Zira?
Our predicted score is Imisli FK 0–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Imisli FK vs Zira?
Imisli FK vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
