Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W preview and prediction
The match
The USL Super League sees Carolina Ascent W take on Lexington W on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Carolina Ascent W are 1st with 27 points from 12 games, while Lexington W sit 5th on 14 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Carolina Ascent W's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Fort Lauderdale United W 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lexington W's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat DC Power W 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Carolina Ascent W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Carolina Ascent W and 1.3 for Lexington W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carolina Ascent W 41%, draw 23%, Lexington W 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Carolina Ascent W 1–1 Lexington W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carolina Ascent W41%fair 2.47 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Lexington W37%fair 2.73 · @2.60
2.67Expected goals
1.38Carolina Ascent W xG
1.29Lexington W xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Carolina Ascent W 1.4 – 1.3 Lexington W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carolina Ascent W to win✓
41%
2.47
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carolina Ascent W / FT Carolina Ascent W✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
10.49
–
Form
Carolina Ascent W – last 3
DWW
29 Mar
vs Fort Lauderdale United W
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ DC Power W
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lexington W – last 3
WDL
2 Apr
@ DC Power W
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Dallas Trinity W
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Dallas Trinity W
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carolina Ascent W and Lexington W.
What is the prediction for Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
On our numbers Carolina Ascent W have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lexington W 37%.
How many goals will there be in Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Our predicted score is Carolina Ascent W 1–1 Lexington W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W?
Carolina Ascent W vs Lexington W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
