Sumqayıt host Qabala in the Premyer Liqa on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Sumqayıt are 9th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Qabala sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sumqayıt's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Neftchi Baku 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Qabala's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Imisli FK 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Qabala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Sumqayıt 0–0 Qabala.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sumqayıt and 1.2 for Qabala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sumqayıt 41%, draw 25%, Qabala 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sumqayıt 1–1 Qabala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sumqayıt41%fair 2.44 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Qabala34%fair 2.96 · @2.90
2.49Expected goals
1.32Sumqayıt xG
1.17Qabala xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.3 – 1.2 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Qabala 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Sumqayıt vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
