Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSabah FA to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt preview and prediction
The match
Sumqayıt travel to Bank Respublika Arena in the Premyer Liqa on Thursday 19 March (16:15 WAT) to face Sabah FA. Sabah FA are 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Sumqayıt sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sabah FA's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Mil-Muğan 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sumqayıt's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Keshla FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Sabah FA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Sabah FA and 0.8 for Sumqayıt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sabah FA 66%, draw 23%, Sumqayıt 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sabah FA 2–0 Sumqayıt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabah FA66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.33
Sumqayıt11%fair 9.18 · @10.00
2.84Expected goals
2.08Sabah FA xG
0.76Sumqayıt xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sabah FA 2.1 – 0.8 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Sabah FA ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Form
Sabah FA – last 5
WWDWW
14 Mar
@ Mil-Muğan
5–0
W
10 Mar
vs Qabala
7–1
W
1 Mar
@ Qarabag
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Kapaz
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Qabala
1–0
W
3.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sumqayıt – last 6
LDLLDL
13 Mar
vs Keshla FC
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Karvan
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Zira
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Kapaz
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Qabala
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabah FA and Sumqayıt.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Sabah FA have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sumqayıt 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Sabah FA 2–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt?
Sabah FA vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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