Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAraz to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceAraz or draw ✓85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Karvan vs Araz preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Karvan take on Araz on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Karvan and 2.0 for Araz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karvan 15%, draw 20%, Araz 66%.
Safer route: Araz or draw (85%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Araz to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karvan 0–1 Araz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karvan15%fair 6.83 · @4.33
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.30
Araz66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
2.75Expected goals
0.78Karvan xG
1.97Araz xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Karvan 0.8 – 2.0 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✓
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Araz or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.26
Half-time result
Araz ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araz / FT Araz✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Karvan
No recent results on record.
Araz – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karvan and Araz.
Our pick is Araz to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Karvan vs Araz?
On our numbers Karvan have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Araz 66%.
How many goals will there be in Karvan vs Araz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karvan vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Karvan 0–1 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Karvan vs Araz?
Karvan vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
