Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.47 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSumqayıt to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Sumqayıt vs Qabala preview and prediction
The match
The Premyer Liqa sees Sumqayıt take on Qabala on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Sumqayıt are 9th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Qabala sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Sumqayıt and 1.0 for Qabala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sumqayıt 46%, draw 22%, Qabala 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: Sumqayıt 1–1 Qabala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sumqayıt46%fair 2.20 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Qabala32%fair 3.12 · @3.10
2.37Expected goals
1.32Sumqayıt xG
1.04Qabala xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.3 – 1.0 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sumqayıt to win✗
46%
2.20
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.47
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sumqayıt / FT Sumqayıt✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.06
–
Form
Sumqayıt – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Araz
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Qabala – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sumqayıt and Qabala.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qabala 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Sumqayıt vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
