The Premyer Liqa sees Mil-Muğan take on Qarabag on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Quba OIK stadionu. Mil-Muğan are 8th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Qarabag sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Mil-Muğan and 1.8 for Qarabag. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mil-Muğan18%fair 5.62 · @9.75
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.40
Qarabag64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
2.57Expected goals
0.77Mil-Muğan xG
1.80Qarabag xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Mil-Muğan 0.8 – 1.8 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✓
64%
1.55
1.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Half-time result
Qarabag ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.26
–
Form
Mil-Muğan
No recent results on record.
Qarabag
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mil-Muğan and Qarabag.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Mil-Muğan have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Qarabag 64%.
How many goals will there be in Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Karvan0