Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDurango to win ✓73% · @1.09
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Durango vs Ensenada preview and prediction
The match
Durango host Ensenada in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Form guide
Durango's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat UA Zacatecas 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Durango and 0.8 for Ensenada. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Durango 73%, draw 19%, Ensenada 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Durango 2–1 Ensenada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Durango73%fair 1.38 · @1.09
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @7.75
Ensenada8%fair 12.47 · @19.00
3.27Expected goals
2.48Durango xG
0.79Ensenada xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Durango 2.5 – 0.8 Ensenada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Durango to win✓
73%
1.38
1.09
Double chance
Durango or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.33
Half-time result
Durango ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Durango / FT Durango✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Durango – last 3
WWW
7 Mar
vs UA Zacatecas
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Colima
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Leones Negros
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ensenada – last 2
WL
17 Mar
vs Reboceros La Piedad
6–1
W
7 Mar
@ Colima
1–4
L
3.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durango and Ensenada.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Durango vs Ensenada?
On our numbers Durango have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ensenada 8%.
How many goals will there be in Durango vs Ensenada?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durango vs Ensenada?
Our predicted score is Durango 2–1 Ensenada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Durango vs Ensenada?
Durango vs Ensenada (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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