Value bet: Deportivo Ayense to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Ayense to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Ayense travel to Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca in the Liga Premier Serie B on Saturday 14 February (23:00 WAT) to face Dragones de Oaxaca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Dragones de Oaxaca and 1.4 for Deportivo Ayense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Deportivo Ayense to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Dragones de Oaxaca 1–1 Deportivo Ayense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dragones de Oaxaca37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @3.30
Deportivo Ayense45%fair 2.20 · @2.50
2.68Expected goals
1.25Dragones de Oaxaca xG
1.43Deportivo Ayense xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dragones de Oaxaca 1.3 – 1.4 Deportivo Ayense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Ayense to win✗
45%
2.20
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Ayense / FT Deportivo Ayense✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Dragones de Oaxaca
No recent results on record.
Deportivo Ayense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dragones de Oaxaca and Deportivo Ayense.
What is the prediction for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense?
On our numbers Dragones de Oaxaca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Deportivo Ayense 45%.
How many goals will there be in Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense?
Our predicted score is Dragones de Oaxaca 1–1 Deportivo Ayense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense?
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Ayense (Liga Premier Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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