Somaspor travel to Timsah Park in the 2. Lig on Sunday 19 April (13:00 WAT) to face Bursaspor.
Form guide
Bursaspor's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Ankara Demirspor 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Somaspor's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bursaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.4 for Bursaspor and 0.6 for Somaspor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bursaspor 2–1 Somaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bursaspor75%fair 1.34 · @1.08
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @8.50
Somaspor6%fair 18.00 · @29.00
3.02Expected goals
2.40Bursaspor xG
0.62Somaspor xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bursaspor 2.4 – 0.6 Somaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✓
75%
1.34
1.08
Double chance
Bursaspor or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Bursaspor ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.11
–
Form
Bursaspor – last 6
WDWDWW
12 Apr
@ Ankara Demirspor
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
1–1
D
24 Mar
vs Belediye Derincespor
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Muş Menderesspor
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
6–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Somaspor – last 6
DWLWDL
12 Apr
vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Kırklarelispor
2–0
W
24 Mar
@ Isparta 32 Spor
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Adanaspor
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Hekimoğlu Trabzon
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bursaspor and Somaspor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Bursaspor vs Somaspor?
On our numbers Bursaspor have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Somaspor 6%.
How many goals will there be in Bursaspor vs Somaspor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Somaspor?
Our predicted score is Bursaspor 2–1 Somaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bursaspor vs Somaspor?
Bursaspor vs Somaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Timsah Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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