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2. Lig · Turkey · Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu

Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor prediction & analysis

86%
Footrivo pick

Karacabey Belediyespor or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Karacabey Belediyespor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultKaracabey Belediyespor to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceKaracabey Belediyespor or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27

Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor preview and prediction

The match

Karacabey Belediyespor host Kastamonuspor in the 2. Lig on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu. Karacabey Belediyespor are 11th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Kastamonuspor sit 15th on 4 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Karacabey Belediyespor's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Şanlıurfaspor 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Kastamonuspor's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Batman Petrolspor 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Karacabey Belediyespor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Karacabey Belediyespor and 0.8 for Kastamonuspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Karacabey Belediyespor or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karacabey Belediyespor 1–0 Kastamonuspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Karacabey Belediyespor60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Kastamonuspor14%fair 7.32 · @3.90
2.57Expected goals
1.80Karacabey Belediyespor xG
0.77Kastamonuspor xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Karacabey Belediyespor 1.8 – 0.8 Kastamonuspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKaracabey Belediyespor to win ✓60%1.671.85 ▲
Double chanceKaracabey Belediyespor or draw ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Half-time resultKaracabey Belediyespor ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karacabey Belediyespor / FT Karacabey Belediyespor ✓39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.27–

Form

Karacabey Belediyespor – last 6

DWLWDL
29 Mar@ Şanlıurfaspor2–2D
25 Marvs Karaman FK1–0W
11 Mar@ Batman Petrolspor1–4L
7 Marvs Altınordu2–1W
28 Feb@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı0–0D
22 Febvs Ankaragücü0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kastamonuspor – last 6

LLLLDD
29 Marvs Batman Petrolspor1–2L
25 Mar@ Altınordu0–1L
16 Marvs Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı0–2L
11 Mar@ Ankaragücü0–1L
7 Marvs Elazığspor0–0D
1 Mar@ Adana 1954 FK1–1D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Karacabey Belediyespor and Kastamonuspor.

Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor head-to-head page →

2. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elazığspor10811+2125
2Güzide Gebzespor10730+1024
3Muş Sport Klübü10721+1623
4Aliağa FAŞ10712+522
5Çorluspor 194710622+920
6İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik10613+519
7Şanlıurfaspor10532+818
8Erbaaspor10514+516
9Menemen FK10424+114
10Sebat Gençlikspor10334+512
11Ankaraspor10406-412
12Isparta 32 Spor10325-511
13Somaspor10325-711
1468 Aksaray Belediyespor1023509
15Kastamonuspor10217-254
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor10019-170
17Hatayspor10118-140
18Adana Demirspor10217-130

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?

Our pick is Karacabey Belediyespor or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?

On our numbers Karacabey Belediyespor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kastamonuspor 14%.

How many goals will there be in Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?

Our predicted score is Karacabey Belediyespor 1–0 Kastamonuspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?

Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.