Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Karacabey Belediyespor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Karacabey Belediyespor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaracabey Belediyespor to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceKaracabey Belediyespor or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor preview and prediction
The match
Karacabey Belediyespor host Kastamonuspor in the 2. Lig on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu. Karacabey Belediyespor are 11th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Kastamonuspor sit 15th on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Karacabey Belediyespor's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Şanlıurfaspor 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kastamonuspor's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Batman Petrolspor 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Karacabey Belediyespor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Karacabey Belediyespor and 0.8 for Kastamonuspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Karacabey Belediyespor or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Karacabey Belediyespor to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karacabey Belediyespor or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karacabey Belediyespor 1–0 Kastamonuspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karacabey Belediyespor60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Kastamonuspor14%fair 7.32 · @3.90
2.57Expected goals
1.80Karacabey Belediyespor xG
0.77Kastamonuspor xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Karacabey Belediyespor 1.8 – 0.8 Kastamonuspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karacabey Belediyespor to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Karacabey Belediyespor or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Karacabey Belediyespor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karacabey Belediyespor / FT Karacabey Belediyespor✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Karacabey Belediyespor – last 6
DWLWDL
29 Mar
@ Şanlıurfaspor
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Karaman FK
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Batman Petrolspor
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Altınordu
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Ankaragücü
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kastamonuspor – last 6
LLLLDD
29 Mar
vs Batman Petrolspor
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Altınordu
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Ankaragücü
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Elazığspor
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Adana 1954 FK
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karacabey Belediyespor and Kastamonuspor.
What is the prediction for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
Our pick is Karacabey Belediyespor or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
On our numbers Karacabey Belediyespor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kastamonuspor 14%.
How many goals will there be in Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
Our predicted score is Karacabey Belediyespor 1–0 Kastamonuspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor?
Karacabey Belediyespor vs Kastamonuspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Karacabey M. Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.