Value bet: El Mansura to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsyut Petrol to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.05
El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees El Mansura take on Asyut Petrol on Thursday 7 May, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at al-Man?urah Stadium.
Form guide
El Mansura's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Asyut Petrol's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Raya Ghazl 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for El Mansura and 1.0 for Asyut Petrol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Mansura 31%, draw 31%, Asyut Petrol 38%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.44.
Value angle: El Mansura to win at 3.80 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: El Mansura 1–0 Asyut Petrol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Mansura31%fair 3.20 · @3.80
Draw31%fair 3.20 · @2.50
Asyut Petrol38%fair 2.66 · @2.20
2.10Expected goals
1.09El Mansura xG
1.02Asyut Petrol xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: El Mansura 1.1 – 1.0 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
El Mansura
Asyut Petrol
Attack vs Second League average
+8%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.01
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asyut Petrol to win✗
38%
2.66
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mansura / FT El Mansura✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.05
–
Form
El Mansura – last 6
DWDDDL
30 Apr
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–0
D
23 Apr
@ Raya Ghazl
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Tersana
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ La Viena FC
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Asyut Petrol – last 6
WLLWDD
30 Apr
vs Raya Ghazl
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Tersana
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs La Viena FC
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Itesalat
3–0
W
2 Apr
vs Dayrout
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ Proxy
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Mansura and Asyut Petrol.
What is the prediction for El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
On our numbers El Mansura have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Asyut Petrol 38%.
How many goals will there be in El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
Our predicted score is El Mansura 1–0 Asyut Petrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol?
El Mansura vs Asyut Petrol (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at al-Man?urah Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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