Value bet: Tersana to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTersana to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.74
El Mansura vs Tersana preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees El Mansura take on Tersana on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at al-Man?urah Stadium. El Mansura are 7th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Tersana sit 9th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Mansura's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with La Viena FC 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tersana's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Raya Ghazl 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.7 for El Mansura and 0.9 for Tersana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Mansura 31%, draw 27%, Tersana 42%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Tersana to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: El Mansura 0–0 Tersana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Mansura31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.45
Tersana42%fair 2.40 · @2.60
1.67Expected goals
0.74El Mansura xG
0.93Tersana xG
46%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: El Mansura 0.7 – 0.9 Tersana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tersana to win✗
42%
2.40
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
El Mansura – last 6
DDLDLD
10 Apr
@ La Viena FC
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Proxy
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Aswan Sc
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tersana – last 6
WLLDLD
10 Apr
vs Raya Ghazl
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ La Viena FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Itesalat
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Proxy
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Mansura and Tersana.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Mansura vs Tersana?
On our numbers El Mansura have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tersana 42%.
How many goals will there be in El Mansura vs Tersana?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mansura vs Tersana?
Our predicted score is El Mansura 0–0 Tersana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is El Mansura vs Tersana?
El Mansura vs Tersana (Second League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at al-Man?urah Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Raya Ghazl0
Asyut Petrol0