Value bet: Itesalat to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultItesalat to win ✗36% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Tersana vs Itesalat preview and prediction
The match
Itesalat travel to Mit Okba Stadium in the Second League on Friday 13 March (20:30 WAT) to face Tersana. Tersana are 9th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Itesalat sit 8th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Tersana and 0.8 for Itesalat. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tersana 35%, draw 29%, Itesalat 36%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Itesalat to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tersana 0–0 Itesalat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tersana35%fair 2.82 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.50
Itesalat36%fair 2.78 · @3.30
1.62Expected goals
0.81Tersana xG
0.81Itesalat xG
44%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
0–116%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tersana 0.8 – 0.8 Itesalat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Itesalat to win✗
36%
2.78
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.21
–
Form
Tersana – last 2
LD
5 Mar
@ Dayrout
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Proxy
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Itesalat – last 2
WL
5 Mar
vs La Viena FC
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tersana and Itesalat.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tersana vs Itesalat?
On our numbers Tersana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Itesalat 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tersana vs Itesalat?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tersana vs Itesalat?
Our predicted score is Tersana 0–0 Itesalat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Tersana vs Itesalat?
Tersana vs Itesalat (Second League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Mit Okba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Raya Ghazl0