Value bet: El Mansura to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mansura to win ✗37% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.51
El Mansura vs Proxy preview and prediction
The match
Proxy travel to al-Man?urah Stadium in the Second League on Thursday 12 March (20:30 WAT) to face El Mansura. El Mansura are 6th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Proxy sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Mansura's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Aswan Sc 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for El Mansura and 0.9 for Proxy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Mansura 37%, draw 31%, Proxy 32%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.
Value angle: El Mansura to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: El Mansura 1–0 Proxy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Mansura37%fair 2.69 · @3.30
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.50
Proxy32%fair 3.13 · @2.40
2.07Expected goals
1.21El Mansura xG
0.85Proxy xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: El Mansura 1.2 – 0.9 Proxy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
El Mansura
Proxy
Attack vs Second League average
+10%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.45
0.78
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mansura to win✗
37%
2.69
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Mansura / FT El Mansura✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.51
–
Form
El Mansura – last 3
LDW
6 Mar
@ Aswan Sc
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ El Dakhleya
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Proxy – last 2
WD
6 Mar
vs Raya Ghazl
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Tersana
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Mansura and Proxy.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win El Mansura vs Proxy?
On our numbers El Mansura have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Proxy 32%.
How many goals will there be in El Mansura vs Proxy?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Mansura vs Proxy?
Our predicted score is El Mansura 1–0 Proxy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Mansura vs Proxy?
El Mansura vs Proxy (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at al-Man?urah Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.