Value bet: Itesalat to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaladiyyat Al Mehalla to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.00
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Baladiyyat Al Mehalla take on Itesalat on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at El Mahalla Stadium. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Itesalat sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and 0.9 for Itesalat. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 38%, draw 29%, Itesalat 33%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Itesalat to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–0 Itesalat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.50
Itesalat33%fair 3.00 · @3.80
1.98Expected goals
1.03Baladiyyat Al Mehalla xG
0.95Itesalat xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1.0 – 0.9 Itesalat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win✓
38%
2.63
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.00
–
Form
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ El Entag EL Harby
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Itesalat
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and Itesalat.
What is the prediction for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat?
On our numbers Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Itesalat 33%.
How many goals will there be in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat?
Our predicted score is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–0 Itesalat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Itesalat (Second League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at El Mahalla Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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