Value bet: El Mansura to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mansura to win ✓38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.86
El Dakhleya vs El Mansura preview and prediction
The match
El Mansura travel to Police Academy Stadium in the Second League on Friday 13 February (13:30 WAT) to face El Dakhleya. El Dakhleya are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while El Mansura sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for El Dakhleya and 1.0 for El Mansura. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Dakhleya 35%, draw 27%, El Mansura 38%.
Value angle: El Mansura to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: El Dakhleya 1–1 El Mansura. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Dakhleya35%fair 2.87 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.65
El Mansura38%fair 2.63 · @3.25
1.91Expected goals
0.93El Dakhleya xG
0.98El Mansura xG
40%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Dakhleya 0.9 – 1.0 El Mansura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mansura to win✓
38%
2.63
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.86
–
Form
El Dakhleya
No recent results on record.
El Mansura
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Dakhleya and El Mansura.
What is the prediction for El Dakhleya vs El Mansura?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win El Dakhleya vs El Mansura?
On our numbers El Dakhleya have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Mansura 38%.
How many goals will there be in El Dakhleya vs El Mansura?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Dakhleya vs El Mansura?
Our predicted score is El Dakhleya 1–1 El Mansura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Dakhleya vs El Mansura?
El Dakhleya vs El Mansura (Second League) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Police Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Raya Ghazl0