Value bet: Casertana to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCasertana to win41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.44
Cavese vs Casertana preview and prediction
The match
Casertana travel to Stadio Simonetta Lamberti in the Serie C Girone C on Saturday 4 April (19:45 WAT) to face Cavese. Cavese are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Casertana sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cavese's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Foggia 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Casertana's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat SS Monopoli 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Casertana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Cavese and 1.2 for Casertana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cavese 35%, draw 25%, Casertana 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Casertana to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Cavese 1–1 Casertana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cavese35%fair 2.87 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Casertana41%fair 2.46 · @2.90
2.34Expected goals
1.11Cavese xG
1.23Casertana xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cavese 1.1 – 1.2 Casertana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win
41%
2.46
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casertana / FT Casertana
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.44
–
Form
Cavese – last 3
DLL
22 Mar
vs Foggia
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Crotone
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Trapani 1905
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Casertana – last 4
WDWL
15 Mar
vs SS Monopoli
2–1
W
9 Mar
@ Catania
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs Salernitana
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Siracusa
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cavese and Casertana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cavese vs Casertana?
On our numbers Cavese have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Casertana 41%.
How many goals will there be in Cavese vs Casertana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cavese vs Casertana?
Our predicted score is Cavese 1–1 Casertana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cavese vs Casertana?
Cavese vs Casertana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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