Value bet: Audace Cerignola to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAudace Cerignola to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano preview and prediction
The match
Casarano travel to Stadio Domenico Monterisi in the Serie C Girone C on Friday 20 February (20:30 WAT) to face Audace Cerignola. Audace Cerignola are 5th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Casarano sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Audace Cerignola and 1.0 for Casarano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Audace Cerignola to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Audace Cerignola 1–0 Casarano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Audace Cerignola56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.20
Casarano24%fair 4.14 · @3.70
2.59Expected goals
1.64Audace Cerignola xG
0.95Casarano xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Audace Cerignola 1.6 – 1.0 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Audace Cerignola to win✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Audace Cerignola / FT Audace Cerignola✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Audace Cerignola
No recent results on record.
Casarano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Audace Cerignola and Casarano.
What is the prediction for Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
On our numbers Audace Cerignola have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Casarano 24%.
How many goals will there be in Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is Audace Cerignola 1–0 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Monterisi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
