Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Alcione vs Lecco preview and prediction
The match
Lecco travel to Stadio Ernesto Breda in the Serie C Girone A on Friday 10 April (19:30 WAT) to face Alcione. Alcione are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Lecco sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alcione's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to Novara 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lecco's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Vicenza Virtus 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Alcione and 1.2 for Lecco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcione 31%, draw 23%, Lecco 47%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Lecco to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Alcione 0–1 Lecco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcione31%fair 3.26 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Lecco47%fair 2.14 · @2.45
2.04Expected goals
0.86Alcione xG
1.18Lecco xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alcione 0.9 – 1.2 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✓
47%
2.14
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.54
–
Form
Alcione – last 4
LDDW
22 Mar
@ Novara
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Union Brescia
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Lecco – last 6
WLWDLD
3 Apr
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Pro Patria
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Novara
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Renate
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Lecco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alcione vs Lecco?
On our numbers Alcione have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lecco 47%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Lecco?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Alcione 0–1 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Lecco?
Alcione vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
