Value bet: Alcione to win @ 3.95 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Alcione vs Union Brescia preview and prediction
The match
Alcione host Union Brescia in the Serie C Girone A on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ernesto Breda. Alcione are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Union Brescia sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Union Brescia's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Albinoleffe 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Alcione and 1.0 for Union Brescia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcione 32%, draw 24%, Union Brescia 44%.
Value angle: Alcione to win at 3.95 – 32% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Alcione 0–1 Union Brescia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcione32%fair 3.09 · @3.95
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
Union Brescia44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
1.84Expected goals
0.81Alcione xG
1.03Union Brescia xG
38%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alcione 0.8 – 1.0 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Brescia to win✗
44%
2.27
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.13
–
Form
Alcione – last 2
DW
3 Mar
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Union Brescia – last 3
LWL
3 Mar
@ Albinoleffe
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Pro Patria
3–2
W
16 Feb
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Union Brescia.
What is the prediction for Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alcione vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Alcione have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Brescia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Our predicted score is Alcione 0–1 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Alcione vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
