Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Novara to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovara to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara preview and prediction
The match
Arzignano Valchiampo host Novara in the Serie C Girone A on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Tommaso Dal Molin. Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Novara sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.3 for Novara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Novara to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arzignano Valchiampo32%fair 3.11 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.85
Novara44%fair 2.28 · @2.70
2.33Expected goals
1.04Arzignano Valchiampo xG
1.28Novara xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.0 – 1.3 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
44%
2.28
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Arzignano Valchiampo – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Ospitaletto
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Albinoleffe
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Novara – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Giana Erminio
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Triestina
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara.
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novara 44%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Triestina0