Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Giana Erminio to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGiana Erminio to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio preview and prediction
The match
Lumezzane host Giana Erminio in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Tullio Saleri. Lumezzane are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Giana Erminio sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Lumezzane and 1.1 for Giana Erminio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Giana Erminio to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Lumezzane 1–1 Giana Erminio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lumezzane34%fair 2.96 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Giana Erminio40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
2.16Expected goals
1.02Lumezzane xG
1.15Giana Erminio xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.0 – 1.1 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Giana Erminio to win✗
40%
2.48
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Giana Erminio / FT Giana Erminio✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Lumezzane
No recent results on record.
Giana Erminio
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lumezzane and Giana Erminio.
What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
On our numbers Lumezzane have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Giana Erminio 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio?
Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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