Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Renate to win @ 3.45 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittadella to win ✓38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 8.00
Cittadella vs Renate preview and prediction
The match
Renate travel to Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato in the Serie C Girone A on Monday 16 February (20:30 WAT) to face Cittadella. Cittadella are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Renate sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Cittadella and 1.1 for Renate. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Value angle: Renate to win at 3.45 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Cittadella 1–1 Renate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cittadella38%fair 2.60 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Renate36%fair 2.75 · @3.45
2.19Expected goals
1.11Cittadella xG
1.07Renate xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.1 – 1.1 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✓
38%
2.60
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
8.00
–
Form
Cittadella
No recent results on record.
Renate
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Renate.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Cittadella vs Renate?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renate 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Renate?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–1 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Renate?
Cittadella vs Renate (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter U232