Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceAl Shabab or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Al Najma vs Al Shabab preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma host Al Shabab in the Pro League on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Al-Fateh 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Shabab's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Al-Ittihad FC 3–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Al Shabab arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Al Najma and 2.2 for Al Shabab. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 14%, draw 23%, Al Shabab 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–2 Al Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma14%fair 7.24 · @6.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.75
Al Shabab63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
3.26Expected goals
1.01Al Najma xG
2.25Al Shabab xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.0 – 2.2 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Al Najma – last 6
LDLLLL
14 May
@ Al-Fateh
0–2
L
4 May
@ Al-Ettifaq
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Al Taawon
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
2–5
L
12 Mar
vs Damac
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Shabab – last 6
WLLDLD
17 May
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–2
W
11 May
@ NEOM
1–2
L
7 May
vs Al-Nassr
2–4
L
28 Apr
vs Al-Fateh
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al Shabab.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Shabab 63%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–2 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
Al Najma vs Al Shabab (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
