Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGemert to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceGemert or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.73
Gemert vs Meerssen preview and prediction
The match
Gemert host Meerssen in the Derde Divisie Sunday on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Sportpark Molenbroek.
Form guide
Gemert's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with FC Lisse 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Gemert and 0.9 for Meerssen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gemert 68%, draw 19%, Meerssen 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gemert to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gemert 2–0 Meerssen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gemert68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.20
Meerssen13%fair 7.60 · @4.50
3.27Expected goals
2.32Gemert xG
0.94Meerssen xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Gemert 2.3 – 0.9 Meerssen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gemert to win✓
68%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Gemert or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Gemert ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gemert / FT Gemert✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.73
–
Form
Gemert – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
vs FC Lisse
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Blauw Geel
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Roosendaal
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Meerssen – last 1
W
22 Mar
@ Blauw Geel
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gemert and Meerssen.
Our pick is Gemert to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Gemert vs Meerssen?
On our numbers Gemert have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Meerssen 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gemert vs Meerssen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gemert vs Meerssen?
Our predicted score is Gemert 2–0 Meerssen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Gemert vs Meerssen?
Gemert vs Meerssen (Derde Divisie Sunday) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Molenbroek.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Roosendaal1
TOGB1