Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah preview and prediction
The match
Al-Nassr host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Al-Awwal Park. Al-Nassr are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Nassr's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Al Ahli Doha 5–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Vissel Kobe 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al-Nassr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Al-Nassr and 1.1 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Al-Nassr to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @4.00
Al-Ahli Jeddah21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
3.12Expected goals
2.06Al-Nassr xG
1.07Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.1 – 1.1 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.60
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
5–1
W
19 Apr
@ Al-Wasl FC
4–0
W
15 Apr
vs Al-Ettifaq
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Al Najma
5–2
W
25 Feb
@ Al Najma
5–0
W
18 Feb
vs Arkadag
1–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
WWDLWW
20 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–1
W
26 Feb
@ Al Riyadh
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 21%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
