Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al Shabab take on Al-Fateh on Tuesday 28 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Al Shabab are 10th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Fateh sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Shabab's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Al-Rayyan SC 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Al-Fateh's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Al Khaleej Saihat 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Al Shabab and 1.1 for Al-Fateh. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Shabab 60%, draw 16%, Al-Fateh 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Shabab to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fateh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Shabab60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @4.00
Al-Fateh24%fair 4.11 · @3.75
3.08Expected goals
1.96Al Shabab xG
1.12Al-Fateh xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 2.0 – 1.1 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Al Shabab – last 6
LDDDLW
23 Apr
vs Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Al Riyadh
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–5
L
23 Feb
vs Al Riyadh
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
WLLDWL
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Okhdood
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Al Taawon
2–3
L
26 Feb
vs Damac
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Al Okhdood
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is Al Shabab to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al-Fateh 24%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh?
Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Shabab Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Najma1
Damac0