Value bet: Al-Hazm to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Hazm to win ✓42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Al-Hazm vs Al Riyadh preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al-Hazm take on Al Riyadh on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 17:10 (WAT) at Ar-Rass Stadium. Al-Hazm are 14th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Al Riyadh sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al-Hazm's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Al-Ittihad FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Al Riyadh's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Al-Ettifaq 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Al-Hazm and 1.3 for Al Riyadh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Hazm 42%, draw 23%, Al Riyadh 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Al-Hazm to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Riyadh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Hazm42%fair 2.39 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Al Riyadh36%fair 2.82 · @2.50
2.80Expected goals
1.47Al-Hazm xG
1.33Al Riyadh xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Al-Hazm 1.5 – 1.3 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Hazm to win✓
42%
2.39
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Hazm / FT Al-Hazm✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Al-Hazm – last 5
LWLWD
3 Apr
@ Al-Ittihad FC
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Al Kholood
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Al-Ettifaq
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Al Riyadh – last 6
WDWLLL
9 Apr
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Al Shabab
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Damac
0–3
L
26 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Al Shabab
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Hazm and Al Riyadh.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al-Hazm have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Riyadh 36%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Hazm vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Hazm vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Hazm vs Al Riyadh?
Al-Hazm vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:10 (West Africa Time) at Ar-Rass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
