Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Al-Ittihad FC to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Ittihad FC to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al Shabab take on Al-Ittihad FC on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Al Shabab are 10th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Al Shabab's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to NEOM 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Al-Ittihad FC's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Al-Ettifaq 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Ittihad FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Al Shabab and 1.8 for Al-Ittihad FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Shabab 29%, draw 19%, Al-Ittihad FC 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Al-Ittihad FC to win at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Al Shabab 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Shabab29%fair 3.47 · @3.10
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.90
Al-Ittihad FC52%fair 1.92 · @2.05
3.08Expected goals
1.27Al Shabab xG
1.81Al-Ittihad FC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 1.3 – 1.8 Al-Ittihad FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ittihad FC to win✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ittihad FC / FT Al-Ittihad FC✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Al Shabab – last 6
LLDLDD
11 May
@ NEOM
1–2
L
7 May
vs Al-Nassr
2–4
L
28 Apr
vs Al-Fateh
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Ittihad FC – last 6
WDWLDL
14 May
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–1
W
4 May
vs Al Kholood
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Al Taawon
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Al Wahda FC
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs NEOM
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al-Ittihad FC.
What is the prediction for Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al-Ittihad FC 52%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Shabab Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
