Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓77% · @1.04
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.98
Al-Nassr vs Al Najma preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Al-Nassr take on Al Najma on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Al-Awwal Park.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Damac 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Al Najma 0–5 Al-Nassr.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.9 for Al-Nassr and 0.8 for Al Najma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nassr 77%, draw 18%, Al Najma 5%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.38.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.38 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Najma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nassr77%fair 1.30 · @1.04
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @12.00
Al Najma5%fair 21.01 · @34.00
3.75Expected goals
2.92Al-Nassr xG
0.83Al Najma xG
51%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–010%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.9 – 0.8 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al Najma 5%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al Najma?
Al-Nassr vs Al Najma (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
