Value bet: Al-Ahli Jeddah to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah preview and prediction
The match
Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium. Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd with 28 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Al-Ittihad FC 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 1.5 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Qadisiyah FC 35%, draw 24%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Al-Ahli Jeddah to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Qadisiyah FC35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Al-Ahli Jeddah41%fair 2.44 · @2.65
2.91Expected goals
1.39Al-Qadisiyah FC xG
1.52Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.4 – 1.5 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✗
41%
2.44
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Al-Qadisiyah FC – last 2
WW
23 Feb
vs Al-Ettifaq
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Al Okhdood
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
WWWWWW
6 Mar
vs Al-Ittihad FC
3–1
W
26 Feb
@ Al Riyadh
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Damac
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Al Najma
4–1
W
16 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Shabab
5–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What is the prediction for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Al-Qadisiyah FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
