Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Al Shabab to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Shabab to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Shabab or draw ✓84% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Damac vs Al Shabab preview and prediction
The match
The Pro League sees Damac take on Al Shabab on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Damac and 1.8 for Al Shabab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Damac 16%, draw 21%, Al Shabab 63%.
Safer route: Al Shabab or draw (84%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Al Shabab to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Shabab or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Damac 0–1 Al Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Damac16%fair 6.40 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Al Shabab63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
2.47Expected goals
0.72Damac xG
1.76Al Shabab xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Damac 0.7 – 1.8 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Damac
No recent results on record.
Al Shabab – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Damac and Al Shabab.
Our pick is Al Shabab or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Damac vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Damac have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Shabab 63%.
How many goals will there be in Damac vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Damac vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Damac 0–1 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Damac vs Al Shabab?
Damac vs Al Shabab (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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