Al-Nassr travel to Al-Najma Club Stadium in the Pro League on Wednesday 25 February (20:00 WAT) to face Al Najma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 0.9 for Al Najma and 2.6 for Al-Nassr. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 10%, draw 16%, Al-Nassr 75%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Al Najma 0–3 Al-Nassr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma10%fair 10.18 · @15.00
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @7.00
Al-Nassr75%fair 1.34 · @1.17
3.50Expected goals
0.87Al Najma xG
2.63Al-Nassr xG
51%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–39%
1–29%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Al Najma 0.9 – 2.6 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
75%
1.34
1.17
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Al Najma – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Arkadag
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al-Nassr.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al-Nassr 75%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 0–3 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs Al-Nassr?
Al Najma vs Al-Nassr (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Najma Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
