The Pro League sees Al Shabab take on Al Riyadh on Monday 23 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at SHG Arena. Al Shabab are 10th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Al Riyadh sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Al Shabab and 0.9 for Al Riyadh. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Shabab 64%, draw 22%, Al Riyadh 13%.
Safer route: Al Shabab or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Shabab64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.95
Al Riyadh13%fair 7.47 · @5.40
3.00Expected goals
2.09Al Shabab xG
0.90Al Riyadh xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 2.1 – 0.9 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shabab to win✓
64%
1.55
1.57
Double chance
Al Shabab or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Half-time result
Al Shabab ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Al Shabab – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Damac
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–5
L
2.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Riyadh – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Al Kholood
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Shabab and Al Riyadh.
What is the prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Riyadh 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SHG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damac0
Al Okhdood1