Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Navalcarnero take on Real Madrid III on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Mariano González. Navalcarnero are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Real Madrid III sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Navalcarnero and 1.1 for Real Madrid III. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Navalcarnero 48%, draw 23%, Real Madrid III 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Navalcarnero 1–1 Real Madrid III. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Navalcarnero48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Real Madrid III29%fair 3.49 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.50Navalcarnero xG
1.08Real Madrid III xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.5 – 1.1 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
48%
2.09
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.82
–
Form
Navalcarnero – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Orihuela
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Intercity
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Madrid III – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Socuéllamos
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Real Madrid III.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid III 29%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–1 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III?
Navalcarnero vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Mariano González.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Las Palmas II0
Rayo Vallecano II1
Tenerife II4
Socuéllamos1
CD Coria1
Quintanar del Rey3
Colonia Moscardó2
Rayo Majadahonda0