Navalcarnero travel to Estadio Municipal Los Arcos in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 22 February (17:00 WAT) to face Orihuela.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Orihuela and 1.1 for Navalcarnero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orihuela 1–1 Navalcarnero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orihuela44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Navalcarnero32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.37Orihuela xG
1.11Navalcarnero xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.4 – 1.1 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✓
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Orihuela – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ RSD Alcalá
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Intercity
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Navalcarnero 32%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Navalcarnero?
Orihuela vs Navalcarnero (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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