Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelilla to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Melilla vs Real Jaén preview and prediction
The match
Real Jaén travel to Estadio Álvarez Claro in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 22 February (12:00 WAT) to face Melilla.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Melilla and 1.0 for Real Jaén. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melilla 40%, draw 26%, Real Jaén 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Melilla 1–1 Real Jaén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melilla40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Real Jaén34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
2.09Expected goals
1.10Melilla xG
0.99Real Jaén xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Melilla 1.1 – 1.0 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melilla to win✗
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melilla / FT Melilla✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Melilla
No recent results on record.
Real Jaén – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melilla and Real Jaén.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Melilla vs Real Jaén?
On our numbers Melilla have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Jaén 34%.
How many goals will there be in Melilla vs Real Jaén?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melilla vs Real Jaén?
Our predicted score is Melilla 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Melilla vs Real Jaén?
Melilla vs Real Jaén (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Álvarez Claro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Almería II2
Puente Genil1
Estepona2
Ucam Murcia0
Deportiva Minera1
Xerez0
Yeclano1
La Unión Atlético0
Águilas3
Málaga II1
Lorca Deportiva1
Antoniano0
Xerez Deportivo0
Extremadura 19240